This also applies to what species you have as well, it won't increase or decrease the chances for a species to appear if you already have 1 or more on your island. Nor does lacking a personality on your island increase or decrease the chances for that personality to appear on mystery islands. I'm 95%+ sure this is the case, but can't outright solidly confirm that there is no personality roll.
The game does NOT roll for personality at all (villager 1-5 are locked personalities). UPDATE 2: While I have not formally conducted tests on if the game rolls for personality after species or just rolls straight for a villager yet (still working on this), my initial analysis of the new data provided suggest that this is NOT the case. I conclude that it does! The chance for a specific species to be rolled is the same for every species. UPDATE: I have now tested (with the help of more data from TBT users) to see if this theory applies evenly across the board, only 2/35 species didn't uphold the theory, but that is not enough to disprove it all together, and I can attribute it to the nature of RNG. A common use of it is to test whether your observed set of data is statistically different (not due to random chance) from the expected data. This means that we cannot reject the null hypothesis of "The game randomly rolls a species of villager first" I conclude that the theory that the species is rolled first then one is selected in that chosen species is basically correct.īasically it tests whether 2 groups of data are statistically different. As you can see, the Chi Square value is less than the value that produces a p-value of 0.05 for a 1 degree of freedom test (the p-value that 0.65 produces is 0.42).
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